The numbers that matter 22 & 60

[angelopetraglia]

The numbers that matter 22 & 60 (based on a 150-90 score). It is 67 points based on a 110-43 score.

Win by more than 22 = 3rd (play Geelong)

Win by under 22 and lose by less than 60 = 4th (Play StKilda)

Lose by 60 points + = 5th (Play Bombers)

Still can't believe that Carlton could let Adelaide kick 27 goals! The Crows have radically changed their game plan and have vastly improved since earlier this season.

[The Coon Dog]

Thanks AP, saved me having about 16 cracks at it on the calculator until I got it right.

[angelopetraglia]

Spreadsheet ;)

[Rocco Jones]

Adelaide's at 117.61%.

133-70 is another score that means me just miss out on the top four. Obviously there are a lot more variations then finishing 3rd scenario as we aren't in direct battle with the team we are battling for ladder positioning with.

[aker39]

Danny from Droop St is going to start worrying

[Rocco Jones]

A 141-80 loss would see us missing out on the top four. They would have to go to the thousandths place value, we would be a touch stiff imo.

[boydogs]

Our Score, Maximum Losing Margin to hold 4th:

0-6, 72
7-13, 71
14-19, 70
20-26, 69
27-33, 68
34-39, 67
40-46, 66
47-53, 65
54-59, 64
60-66, 63
67-73, 62
74-79, 61
80-86, 60
87-93, 59
94-99, 58
100-106, 57
107-113, 56
114-119, 55
120-126, 54
127-133, 53
134-139, 52
140-146, 51
147-153, 50

9-11 goals is the most likely range. Hope I don't have to come back to this tomorrow to check if we are OK :)

[AndrewP6]

Can we just focus on actually winning tomorrow...

[LostDoggy]

Danny from Droop St is going to start worrying

HeHe! Danny from Droop Street never stops worrying :D I agree with AndrewP6, let's just try and focus our energy on beating the Pies tomorrow!

[alwaysadog]

TCD = Luddite! ;)

Don't knock the Luddites. They have a very poor PR and are very poorly understood, but their cause was noble and they fought with what little they had.

[angelopetraglia]

Loved the numbers that mattered tonight.

Just hit it it in the nick of time. Go Dogs!

Brad Johnson with another clutch goal late in the game. Two weeks running. Brad ... you are a star!

[Rocco Jones]

Great point (or 6 *boom boom tish*)

I wanted 3rd mainly to avoid Adelaide if we lose next week. The loser of Saints vs Pies will have to play Adelaide (I am not even going to pretend that I think Essendon might win) off a 6 day break while the Crows get 8 days.