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The run home
I don't recall a ladder as congested as this one. The Bulldogs are in 9th position. We are only percentage from 13th position and only six points from 3rd position! You can throw a blanket over 11 teams with eight games to play. A top four position is still up for grabs if we are good enough. We control our own destiny at this point.
Our run home.
Port - away AO
Blues - home Marvel
Cats - away Kardina
Swans - away SCG
Demons - home Marvel
Crows - away AO
North - home Marvel
GWS - home Ballarat
Out of our eight games:
We play the top of the ladder Swans and the clear second team in Carlton. These are going to be tough.
Then we have another four games that are really eight point games in Port, Cats, Demons and GWS. We need to win all of these. Two are away which make them tough games, but if we are a serious team, we just win these four games.
We then have only two games with teams not in contetion in the North and the Crows. We should get the job done against North, but the roadtrip to AO is never easy. These two are must win games.
You think 13 wins will be required to make finals (last year 12 wins and a draw made the eight). So we need five more wins to make the finals. If we concede the Swans and Blues games, but take the North and Crows games. We need to win three of those games against the other contenders in that group of 11.
The next month in partiuclar is going to be crucial. What a tough stretch. We need a minimum of two wins to still be in contention.
Bring it on.
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Re: The run home
Originally Posted by
angelopetraglia
You think 13 wins will be required to make finals (last year 12 wins and a draw made the eight). So we need five more wins to make the finals. If we concede the Swans and Blues games, but take the North and Crows games. We need to win three of those games against the other contenders in that group of 11.
I have a bad feeling about Adelaide on the run home.
All of the pressure is off - they're done - and I have a suspicion they are going to shape the 8.
What should I tell her? She's going to ask.
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Re: The run home
It?s a brutal stretch but in 5 weeks you?d think we?re either well in the mix or completely out of contention.
In Lobb we Trust.
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Re: The run home
Callum Twomey
Hawthorn is the first team in history to be 13th on the ladder with a positive win-loss record (eight wins, seven losses).
Champion Data also shows that 11 teams within six points on the ladder is a first as well.
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Re: The run home
Originally Posted by
angelopetraglia
Callum Twomey
Hawthorn is the first team in history to be 13th on the ladder with a positive win-loss record (eight wins, seven losses).
Champion Data also shows that 11 teams within six points on the ladder is a first as well.
Next few weeks this will start to sort out.
FFC: Established 1883
Premierships: AFL 1954, 2016 VFA - 1898,99,1900, 1908, 1913, 1919-20, 1923-24, VFL: 2014, 2016 . Champions of Victoria 1924. AFLW - 2018.
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Re: The run home
Apart from the 3 games in a row :
Blues - home Marvel
Cats - away Kardina
Swans - away SCG
I just don't think it's as tough a run as some may suggest, sure there will be tough games but we should cover most of them, we play well generally away v Port and they have their issues atm, Marshall is a big out for them.
The Dees at Marvel again, have many issues atm and we play well against them at Marvel, i expect a win.
The Crows could be a danger game but pound for pound we are a better side and our momentum should be building, North again then the Giants who have turned to dust for whatever reason after being one of the Prem favourites early in the piece.
Blue and Swans will be yeah....pretty tough, The Cats we should, but we won't.
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Re: The run home
Originally Posted by
mighty_west
Apart from the 3 games in a row :
Blues - home Marvel
Cats - away Kardina
Swans - away SCG
I just don't think it's as tough a run as some may suggest,.
Thats 40% of our games left, looks tough.
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Re: The run home
Originally Posted by
Topdog
Thats 40% of our games left, looks tough.
If we are good enough we should be able to win anywhere
FFC: Established 1883
Premierships: AFL 1954, 2016 VFA - 1898,99,1900, 1908, 1913, 1919-20, 1923-24, VFL: 2014, 2016 . Champions of Victoria 1924. AFLW - 2018.
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Re: The run home
I look at it that if we don’t get in we aren’t good enough fullstop.
Which gets the Bevo talks going again as we can’t blame injuries except for the Swans game.
Bring back the biff
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Re: The run home
Originally Posted by
bornadog
If we are good enough we should be able to win anywhere
Oh absolutely true but that doesnt make a run in hard or easy.
We have made our run in hard due to our extremely poor start to the season.
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Re: The run home
Originally Posted by
Topdog
Oh absolutely true but that doesnt make a run in hard or easy.
We have made our run in hard due to our extremely poor start to the season.
It’s Bevos MO
Bring back the biff
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Re: The run home
Originally Posted by
Topdog
We have made our run in hard due to our extremely poor start to the season.
What was extremely poor about our start? Essendon have been top 8 most of the season and Hawthorn are the hottest team in the comp and have been for 2 months. We sucked against Melbourne to be fair (I reckon we were sub-par against Geelong as well, except for 2 of the most ridiculous super-human games from Bont/Libba). We totally smashed Gold Coast, West Coast, St Kilda and Richmond. Freo was a very tight loss in Perth and they are top 4.
It's just a super hard comp in 2024 and every win is difficult and needs to be appreciated.
"Look at me mate. Look at me. I'm flyin'"
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Re: The run home
Hawks were 1-6 when we played them with the only win being against North.
Essendon are rubbish and we should be beating them which followed a really poor loss to Geelong.
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Re: The run home
Originally Posted by
Topdog
Hawks were 1-6 when we played them with the only win being against North.
Essendon are rubbish and we should be beating them which followed a really poor loss to Geelong.
I was disappointed with both those losses but in context they were not "extremely poor" (although maybe they were for the Ch 9 media mafia who have Bevo in the gun).
For mine, we were 1 win under par getting to the bye - I don't think that's extremely poor.
"Look at me mate. Look at me. I'm flyin'"
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Re: The run home
Originally Posted by
Topdog
Thats 40% of our games left, looks tough.
Well really all games are tough, we just look back against North, that said we SHOULD win 5 and possibly drop 3, that gives us what, 13 wins 52 points? if we don't make finals with that we'd be bloody unlucky.